International energy agency iea world energy outlook 2017. The projection is based on likely trends in technology, policy, consumer preferences, geopolitics and economic development. An interesting source for potential future developments in the energy sector is provided by the international energy agency world energy outlooks iea, 2010, 2011. Remap 2030 is an invitation to countries to forge the renewable energy future most.
World energy outlook weo horizon 2030, all energy sources scenarios depicting different developments on the basis of. Iea book offers guidance on renewables deployment news. The outlook for energy is exxonmobil s latest view of energy demand and supply through 2040. The world energy outlook explains the impact of todays decisions on tomorrows energy systems, and describes a pathway that enables the world to meet climate, energy access and air quality goals while maintaining a strong focus on the reliability and affordability of energy for a growing global population. Chart data can be accessed by rightclicking the chart in the ppt file. Were way off course for paris, says world energy outlook. The international energy agency iea provides unrealistically high oil forecasts in its new 2012 world energy outlook weo. The first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. New policy scenarios an overview sciencedirect topics. Energy access outlook 2017 from poverty to prosperity assessing todays global picture for access to modern energy, the strategies and technologies that can enable countries to achieve energy for all by 2030, and the ways in which reliable energy can help communities prosper. Bp energy outlook 2030 energy information administration. However, the oil majors already have heavily spent money on new oil. These changes provide the backdrop for the world energy outlook 2017, which includes a full update of energy demand and supply projections to 2040 based on different scenarios.
The worlds foremost energy outlook is still leading us to. We hope you find the bp energy outlook 2030 a useful addition to the global energy. Nov 29, 2012 on 12 november the ieas world energy outlook report for 2012 weo2012 was presented by the chief economist of that organization, dr. There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. Each geothermal source is unique in its location, temperature and pool depth, and various geothermal technologies have been developed to best.
Based on scenarios, these projections compare what will happen if policies remain the same and what might happen if policies were improved. International energy agency iea and other credible thirdparty sources as a. In a new report, robin mills examines the future of middle east gas demand in the context of budget deficits, shifts in domestic and industrial demand and falling oil prices. The report this year examines how chinas choices could reshape the global outlook for all fuels and technologies. An analysis of world energy outlook 2012 as preparation for. The projections are accompanied by detailed analyses of their impact on energy industries and investment, as well as implications for energy security and the environment. The 2018 edition provides updated analysis to show what the latest data, technology trends and policy announcements might mean for the energy sector to 2040. The iea was established to meet the industrial countries energy organization needs in the wake of the 19731974 oil crisis. It was initially set up in 1973 to coordinate measure in times of oil supply emergencies, but their mandate broadened to incorporate energy security, economic development and environmental protection. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. Columbia sipa center on global energy policy under a. The outlook for nuclear power has dimmed since last years outlook, but china continues to lead a gradual rise in output, overtaking the united states by 2030 to. As a result, the number of people without access to electricity, which peaked at 610 million in.
Department of energy office of energy efficiency and renewable energy 169,621 followers government organization international energy agency iea videos world energy outlook 2017. The detailed projections are generated by the world energy model, a largescale simulation tool, developed at the iea over a period of more than 20 years that is designed to replicate how energy markets function. World energy outlook 2015 executive summary english version. Primary energy consumption is expected to increases by 1. Oecds dissemination platform for all published content books, serials and statistics. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency 1. To do so, please go to the bottom of this text and play with the prebuilt graphs to make the comparisons you like for crude oil production, total oil consumption, oil importers and exporters, oil.
The annual energy outlook presents an assessment by the u. The iea sees solar costs falling by around 40% between 2014 and 2040, and onshore wind around 15%. Energy information administration of the outlook for energy markets through 2050. On page 159 of the iea 2018 world energy outlook the following graph can be found. The international energy agency iea acts as an energy policy advisor to 28 member countries, within the framework of the organization for economic cooperation oecd in paris. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market. Four largescale shifts in the global energy system set the scene for the world energy outlook 2017. Energy investment by region 2001 2030 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 oecd north. It knows this, it says, because of the assessments made by the international energy agency iea in its world energy outlook reports. Source 2000 2030, iea weo 2009 higher prices sensitivity case for crude oil, gas and steam coal. Co 2emissions from energy use sources of carbon abatement versus base case, 2030 iraq 20 25 30 35 40 2000 2010 2020 2030 base case policy case iea 450 scenario billion tonnes co 2 a backcast which illustrates what is required to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations at 450 ppm from iea, world energy outlook 2010 2030 2020 5. Beneath this positive outlook for renewables, however, there are again conservative assumptions. This book documents a large and growing array of potential threats to that security, including the spectre of.
Even in its low ball scenario, the international energy agency iea imagines that installed solar pv capacity will overtake that of all other forms of energy apart from gas by 2040. George monbiot asks fatih birol, chief economist of iea. By 2030, shells sky scenario only shows lower emissions in the building sector relative to 2017 levels. A world energy outlook weo that prominently delineates the steps along this pathway would go a long way to reassuring decisionmakers that this is possible and desirable. Nonoecd energy consumption in 2030 is 61% above the 2011 level, with growth averaging 2. Iea manipulates stats to predict unrealistically high oil. Renewable energy shows a much faster increase in the irena, iea, bp and. In the 2007 report, the iea does appear to support the. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among. It is clear that peak oil will be hit well before 2020, while demand keeps on rising, unless the worlds oil majors and state owned oil companies massively invest in new exploration. The european energy outlook to 2010 and 2030 article pdf available in international journal of global energy issues 1414 february 2000 with 114 reads how we measure reads. Global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd.
Nov, 2008 out of morbid curiosity, i dug up a few older world energy outlook reports from the iea for comparison. India is emerging as a major driving force in global energy trends, with all modern fuels and technologies playing a part, a senior official of the international energy agency iea said. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate change. It also outlines an integrated way to meet multiple. Annual energy outlook 2020 energy information administration. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Nov 14, 2019 with the right policies, the outlooks sustainable development scenario estimates that global emissions from energy use could be reduced by almost ten billion tonnes a year by 2030, and from 35. The international energy agencys annual energy projections. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment request pdf. World energy outlook 2017 now available at 50% off. World energy outlook special report, november 2015, p. Geothermal energy can provide heating, cooling and baseload power generation from hightemperature hydrothermal resources, aquifer systems with low and medium temperatures, and hot rock resources. For many years the outlook for energy has helped inform exxonmobil s longterm business strategies, investment plans, and research programs. Iea world energy outlook 2015, presentation to the press.
Iea gets hilariously slammed for obsessively inaccurate. The iea produces free monthly statistics with timely and consistent oil, oil price, natural gas and electricity data for all oecd member countries back to 2000. The world energy outlook report, 2017, launched by the iea, was relaunched here in association with delhibased think tank the energy and resources. Access to electricity iea international energy agency. The world energy outlook weo is the gold standard of longterm energy analysis. World energy outlook the international energy agency iea. International energy agency iea world energy outlook. The outlook provides a projection of energy demand through 2040 using the international energy agency iea and other credible thirdparty sources as a foundation.
As our latest analyses in the africa energy outlook 2019 show, in africa the number of people gaining access to electricity doubled from 9 million a year between 2000 and 20 to 20 million people between 2014 and 2018, outpacing population growth. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight. Published asc newest to oldest oldest to newest position name. Scenarios and projections to 2040, including the new sustainable development scenario. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum ief. This authoritative annual book, published by the international energy agency iea on wednesday, is a bible for energy, investment and policy decisionmakers. It goes beyond a mere energy report or outlook predictions.
The international energy agency iea is an autonomous body which was established in november. Clean energy are key drivers of total energy consumption,nonfossil and natural gas represents 44% and 31% of the increment, respectively. Sources of carbon abatement versus base case, 2030. It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the. The annual international energy agency iea report world energy outlook 2010 weo 2010 is a remarkable document. Irenas global renewable energy roadmap, remap 2030.
These outlooks depend on critical assumptions about political decisions and energy subsidies, projections of world economic activity and energy demand. Ensuring the continuing security of energy supplies is the international energy agencys core mission and raison detre. The iea energy atlas also allows you to look at the evolution of one indicator for one country or to make a comparison between several countries. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. Each edition tends to have a particular geographical or policy focus. When he did, so there was one idea that the journalists in the audience latched on to that by 2020 the usa would become the worlds largest oil producer. Annual paid data services with detailed countrybycountry data on all fuels, co2 emissions, prices and taxes and energy policies. But it estimates that only a third of this would come from increased use of renewable energy. It interacts with the global economic and social issues as well as future environmental and developmental considerations.
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